WallStSmart

American Water Works (AWK)vsTarget Corporation (TGT)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Target Corporation generates 1913% more annual revenue ($104.78B vs $5.21B). AWK leads profitability with a 21.2% profit margin vs 3.5%. AWK appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.30. AWK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

AWK

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.64

TGT

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 5.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.48
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AWKOvervalued (-10.7%)

Margin of Safety

-10.7%

Fair Value

$111.75

Current Price

$125.68

$13.93 premium

UndervaluedFair: $111.75Overvalued
TGTUndervalued (+33.2%)

Margin of Safety

+33.2%

Fair Value

$171.51

Current Price

$130.19

$41.32 discount

UndervaluedFair: $171.51Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AWK3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
33.2%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 33.2%

Profit MarginProfitability
21.2%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

TGT4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Market CapQuality
$58.54B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
24.0%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit

P/E RatioValuation
15.8x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.29B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

AWK4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.304/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-4.8%2/10

Earnings declined 4.8%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-354.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

TGT4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.444/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
3.5%3/10

3.5% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.9%3/10

Operating margin of 4.9%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.5%2/10

Revenue declined 1.5%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AWK

The strongest argument for AWK centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 21.2% and operating margin at 33.2%.

Bull Case : TGT

The strongest argument for TGT centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, P/E Ratio.

Bear Case : AWK

The primary concerns for AWK are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : TGT

The primary concerns for TGT are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AWK profiles as a mature stock while TGT is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

TGT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.03 — expect wider price swings.

AWK is growing revenue faster at 5.7% — sustainability is the question.

TGT generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AWK scores higher overall (60/100 vs 48/100), backed by strong 21.2% margins. TGT offers better value entry with a 33.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Water Works

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER · USA

American Water is an American public utility company operating in the United States and Canada.

Target Corporation

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

Target Corporation is an American retail corporation. Their retail formats include the discount store Target, the hypermarket SuperTarget, and small-format stores previously named CityTarget and TargetExpress before being consolidated under the Target branding.

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