Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS)vsLumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)
ASTS
Ast Spacemobile Inc
$96.06
+10.44%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $33.23B
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc
$777.17
-3.09%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $57.26B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Lumentum Holdings Inc generates 2868% more annual revenue ($2.11B vs $70.92M). LITE leads profitability with a 11.9% profit margin vs 0.0%. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
ASTS
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
LITE
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for ASTS.
Margin of Safety
-255.6%
Fair Value
$161.46
Current Price
$777.17
$615.71 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 27.3% year-over-year
Revenue surging 65.5% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Trading at 14.9x book value
0.0% earnings growth
0.0% margin — thin
ROE of -30.1% — below average capital efficiency
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 65.5x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ASTS
The strongest argument for ASTS centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 27.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : LITE
The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 65.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.97 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : ASTS
The primary concerns for ASTS are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : LITE
The primary concerns for LITE are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 232.5x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ASTS carries more volatility with a beta of 2.87 — expect wider price swings.
LITE is growing revenue faster at 65.5% — sustainability is the question.
LITE generates stronger free cash flow (51M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
LITE scores higher overall (69/100 vs 30/100) and 65.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Ast Spacemobile Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. operates a space-based cellular broadband network for mobile phones. The company is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Lumentum Holdings Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.
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