Astrana Health Inc (ASTH)vsNovartis AG ADR (NVS)
ASTH
Astrana Health Inc
$37.99
+0.37%
HEALTHCARE · Cap: $1.87B
NVS
Novartis AG ADR
$148.38
-0.55%
HEALTHCARE · Cap: $273.77B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Novartis AG ADR generates 1504% more annual revenue ($56.58B vs $3.53B). NVS leads profitability with a 23.9% profit margin vs 0.9%. NVS trades at a lower P/E of 20.6x. ASTH earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
ASTH
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
NVS
Hold49
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+89.9%
Fair Value
$188.57
Current Price
$37.99
$150.58 discount
Margin of Safety
-62.1%
Fair Value
$91.39
Current Price
$148.38
$56.99 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 55.6% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 110.1% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Mega-cap, among the largest globally
Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 30.5%
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Generating 2.9B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 3.8% — below average capital efficiency
0.9% margin — thin
Operating margin of 3.0%
Grey zone — moderate risk
Elevated debt levels
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 0.7%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ASTH
The strongest argument for ASTH centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 55.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NVS
The strongest argument for NVS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.9% and operating margin at 30.5%.
Bear Case : ASTH
The primary concerns for ASTH are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 61.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : NVS
The primary concerns for NVS are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ASTH profiles as a hypergrowth stock while NVS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
ASTH carries more volatility with a beta of 0.99 — expect wider price swings.
ASTH is growing revenue faster at 55.6% — sustainability is the question.
NVS generates stronger free cash flow (2.9B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ASTH scores higher overall (56/100 vs 49/100) and 55.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Astrana Health Inc
HEALTHCARE · MEDICAL CARE FACILITIES · USA
Astrana Health, Inc., Inc., a physician-centric technology-powered healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Alhambra, California.
Novartis AG ADR
HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA
Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures and markets medical devices worldwide. The company is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.
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