WallStSmart

Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN)vsJohnson Controls International PLC (JCI)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Johnson Controls International PLC generates 8741% more annual revenue ($23.97B vs $271.10M). JCI leads profitability with a 14.2% profit margin vs -143.7%. JCI earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).

ASPN

Avoid

34

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 5.3Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 5.0

JCI

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.7Profit: 6.0Value: 8.0Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.11
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ASPN.

JCIFair Value (-1.4%)

Margin of Safety

-1.4%

Fair Value

$139.00

Current Price

$137.48

$1.52 premium

UndervaluedFair: $139.00Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ASPN1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

JCI2 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Market CapQuality
$83.50B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
34.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 34.2% YoY

Areas to Watch

ASPN4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$253.45M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-91.6%2/10

ROE of -91.6% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-66.4%2/10

Revenue declined 66.4%

JCI3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.484/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
45.9x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.112/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ASPN

The strongest argument for ASPN centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : JCI

The strongest argument for JCI centers on Market Cap, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : ASPN

The primary concerns for ASPN are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : JCI

The primary concerns for JCI are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 45.9x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ASPN profiles as a turnaround stock while JCI is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ASPN carries more volatility with a beta of 3.04 — expect wider price swings.

JCI is growing revenue faster at 6.8% — sustainability is the question.

JCI generates stronger free cash flow (464M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

JCI scores higher overall (57/100 vs 34/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Aspen Aerogels Inc

INDUSTRIALS · BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT · USA

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells airgel insulation products primarily for use in the energy infrastructure and building materials markets in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. The company is headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts.

Johnson Controls International PLC

INDUSTRIALS · BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT · USA

Johnson Controls International plc is an Irish-domiciled multinational conglomerate headquartered in Cork, Ireland, that produces fire, HVAC, and security equipment for buildings.

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