WallStSmart

ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 168% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $32.67B). ASML leads profitability with a 29.4% profit margin vs 12.9%. ASML appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.20. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

ASML

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.0Profit: 9.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ASMLSignificantly Overvalued (-194.2%)

Margin of Safety

-194.2%

Fair Value

$518.82

Current Price

$1399.42

$880.60 premium

UndervaluedFair: $518.82Overvalued
PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ASML5 strengths · Avg: 9.8/10
Market CapQuality
$517.23B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
50.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 51 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
35.3%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 35.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$10.57B10/10

Generating 10.6B in free cash flow

Profit MarginProfitability
29.4%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

ASML4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.204/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

P/E RatioValuation
46.5x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
23.7x2/10

Trading at 23.7x book value

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ASML

The strongest argument for ASML centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.4% and operating margin at 35.3%.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ASML

The primary concerns for ASML are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 46.5x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ASML carries more volatility with a beta of 1.43 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

ASML generates stronger free cash flow (10.6B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 56/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

ASML Holding NV ADR

TECHNOLOGY · SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS · USA

ASML Holding NV develops, produces, markets, sells and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection related systems for memory and logic chip manufacturers. The company is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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