WallStSmart

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM)vsSpotify Technology SA (SPOT)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Spotify Technology SA generates 268% more annual revenue ($17.19B vs $4.67B). ARM leads profitability with a 17.2% profit margin vs 12.9%. ARM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.90. SPOT earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).

ARM

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 4.7Quality: 7.8
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.75

SPOT

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 8.0Value: 8.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.66
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ARMSignificantly Overvalued (-2323.2%)

Margin of Safety

-2323.2%

Fair Value

$5.17

Current Price

$157.07

$151.90 premium

UndervaluedFair: $5.17Overvalued
SPOTUndervalued (+13.1%)

Margin of Safety

+13.1%

Fair Value

$560.66

Current Price

$473.21

$87.45 discount

UndervaluedFair: $560.66Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ARM3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.7510/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$143.33B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.3%8/10

Revenue surging 26.3% year-over-year

SPOT3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
31.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit

Market CapQuality
$99.82B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Debt/EquityHealth
0.289/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

ARM4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.904/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
177.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
21.4x2/10

Trading at 21.4x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
-12.3%2/10

Earnings declined 12.3%

SPOT4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.994/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
10.1x4/10

Trading at 10.1x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
2.1%4/10

2.1% earnings growth

P/E RatioValuation
40.5x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ARM

The strongest argument for ARM centers on Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.2% and operating margin at 15.4%. Revenue growth of 26.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SPOT

The strongest argument for SPOT centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : ARM

The primary concerns for ARM are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. A P/E of 177.6x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : SPOT

The primary concerns for SPOT are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. A P/E of 40.5x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ARM profiles as a growth stock while SPOT is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ARM carries more volatility with a beta of 4.13 — expect wider price swings.

ARM is growing revenue faster at 26.3% — sustainability is the question.

SPOT generates stronger free cash flow (834M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

SPOT scores higher overall (62/100 vs 52/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

TECHNOLOGY · SEMICONDUCTORS · USA

Arm Holdings plc architects, develops, and licenses central processing unit products and related technologies for semiconductor companies and original equipment manufacturers rely on to develop products.

Spotify Technology SA

COMMUNICATION SERVICES · INTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION · USA

Spotify Technology SA, provides audio streaming services worldwide. The company is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

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