WallStSmart

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 1776% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $4.67B). ARM leads profitability with a 17.2% profit margin vs 12.9%. ARM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.90. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

ARM

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 4.7Quality: 7.8
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.75

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ARMSignificantly Overvalued (-2323.2%)

Margin of Safety

-2323.2%

Fair Value

$5.17

Current Price

$157.07

$151.90 premium

UndervaluedFair: $5.17Overvalued
PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ARM3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.7510/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$143.33B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.3%8/10

Revenue surging 26.3% year-over-year

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

ARM4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.904/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
177.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
21.4x2/10

Trading at 21.4x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
-12.3%2/10

Earnings declined 12.3%

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ARM

The strongest argument for ARM centers on Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.2% and operating margin at 15.4%. Revenue growth of 26.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ARM

The primary concerns for ARM are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. A P/E of 177.6x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ARM profiles as a growth stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ARM carries more volatility with a beta of 4.13 — expect wider price swings.

ARM is growing revenue faster at 26.3% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 52/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

TECHNOLOGY · SEMICONDUCTORS · USA

Arm Holdings plc architects, develops, and licenses central processing unit products and related technologies for semiconductor companies and original equipment manufacturers rely on to develop products.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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