WallStSmart

Applovin Corp (APP)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 1499% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $5.48B). APP leads profitability with a 60.8% profit margin vs 12.9%. APP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.22. APP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).

APP

Strong Buy

77

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 8.5Value: 8.7Quality: 9.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.74

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

APPUndervalued (+10.4%)

Margin of Safety

+10.4%

Fair Value

$470.34

Current Price

$435.91

$34.43 discount

UndervaluedFair: $470.34Overvalued
PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

APP6 strengths · Avg: 9.8/10
Profit MarginProfitability
60.8%10/10

Keeps 61 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
76.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 76.9%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
65.9%10/10

Revenue surging 65.9% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
84.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 84.7% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.7410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$155.10B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

APP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
2.1%3/10

ROE of 2.1% — below average capital efficiency

Debt/EquityHealth
1.663/10

Elevated debt levels

P/E RatioValuation
45.7x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
69.1x2/10

Trading at 69.1x book value

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : APP

The strongest argument for APP centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 60.8% and operating margin at 76.9%. Revenue growth of 65.9% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : APP

The primary concerns for APP are Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 45.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 1.66 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

APP profiles as a growth stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

APP carries more volatility with a beta of 2.50 — expect wider price swings.

APP is growing revenue faster at 65.9% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

APP scores higher overall (77/100 vs 67/100), backed by strong 60.8% margins and 65.9% revenue growth. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Applovin Corp

COMMUNICATION SERVICES · ADVERTISING AGENCIES · USA

AppLovin Corporation is committed to creating a software-based platform for mobile application developers to improve the marketing and monetization of their applications globally. The company is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

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Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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