WallStSmart

Api Group Corp (APG)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 117% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $8.17B). VST leads profitability with a 5.3% profit margin vs 4.0%. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

APG

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 5.5Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.69

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

APGSignificantly Overvalued (-23.3%)

Margin of Safety

-23.3%

Fair Value

$36.50

Current Price

$44.67

$8.17 premium

UndervaluedFair: $36.50Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.3%)

Margin of Safety

-53.3%

Fair Value

$101.06

Current Price

$158.29

$57.23 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.06Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

APG2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
61.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 61.4% YoY

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.3%8/10

15.3% revenue growth

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.57B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

APG2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.694/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
4.0%3/10

4.0% margin — thin

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
71.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : APG

The strongest argument for APG centers on EPS Growth, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 15.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : APG

The primary concerns for APG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Thin 4.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 71.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

APG profiles as a growth stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

APG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.69 — expect wider price swings.

APG is growing revenue faster at 15.3% — sustainability is the question.

APG generates stronger free cash flow (67M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 49/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Api Group Corp

INDUSTRIALS · ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION · USA

APi Group Corporation provides security, specialty and industrial services primarily in North America. The company is headquartered in New Brighton, Minnesota.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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