WallStSmart

Agios Pharm (AGIO)vsNovartis AG ADR (NVS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Novartis AG ADR generates 104620% more annual revenue ($56.58B vs $54.03M). NVS leads profitability with a 23.9% profit margin vs 0.0%. NVS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 51/100 (C-).

AGIO

Hold

38

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 8.0Profit: 2.5Value: 6.7Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 5.91

NVS

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 9.0Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.96
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AGIOUndervalued (+42.2%)

Margin of Safety

+42.2%

Fair Value

$47.92

Current Price

$28.05

$19.87 discount

UndervaluedFair: $47.92Overvalued
NVSSignificantly Overvalued (-52.5%)

Margin of Safety

-52.5%

Fair Value

$109.60

Current Price

$147.85

$38.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $109.60Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AGIO4 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
86.1%10/10

Revenue surging 86.1% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0310/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
5.9110/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

NVS5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
Market CapQuality
$282.11B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
34.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
30.5%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 30.5%

Profit MarginProfitability
23.9%9/10

Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.87B8/10

Generating 2.9B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

AGIO4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$1.67B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
0.0%3/10

0.0% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

NVS4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.484/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.964/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.7%2/10

Revenue declined 0.7%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-9.3%2/10

Earnings declined 9.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AGIO

The strongest argument for AGIO centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 86.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : NVS

The strongest argument for NVS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.9% and operating margin at 30.5%.

Bear Case : AGIO

The primary concerns for AGIO are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin.

Bear Case : NVS

The primary concerns for NVS are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AGIO profiles as a hypergrowth stock while NVS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

AGIO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.79 — expect wider price swings.

AGIO is growing revenue faster at 86.1% — sustainability is the question.

NVS generates stronger free cash flow (2.9B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NVS scores higher overall (51/100 vs 38/100), backed by strong 23.9% margins. AGIO offers better value entry with a 42.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Agios Pharm

HEALTHCARE · BIOTECHNOLOGY · USA

Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, is dedicated to drug discovery and development in the field of cellular metabolism and adjacent areas of biology. The company is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Visit Website →

Novartis AG ADR

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures and markets medical devices worldwide. The company is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

Visit Website →

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?