The AES Corporation (AES)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)
AES
The AES Corporation
$14.45
-0.21%
UTILITIES · Cap: $10.30B
VST
Vistra Energy Corp
$153.79
-4.55%
UTILITIES · Cap: $53.44B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Vistra Energy Corp generates 45% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $12.23B). AES leads profitability with a 7.4% profit margin vs 5.3%. AES appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.09. AES earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C).
AES
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C
VST
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+9.3%
Fair Value
$18.13
Current Price
$14.45
$3.68 discount
Margin of Safety
-54.4%
Fair Value
$100.34
Current Price
$153.79
$53.45 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
4.7% revenue growth
ROE of 1.9% — below average capital efficiency
7.4% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Trading at 19.8x book value
5.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AES
The strongest argument for AES centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.09 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : VST
The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : AES
The primary concerns for AES are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 7.98 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : VST
The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.
VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.
AES generates stronger free cash flow (-47M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor UTILITIES - DIVERSIFIED industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
AES scores higher overall (55/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
The AES Corporation
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - DIVERSIFIED · USA
The AES Corporation is a Fortune 500 company that generates and distributes electrical power. AES is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
Visit Website →Vistra Energy Corp
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA
Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
Visit Website →Compare with Other UTILITIES - DIVERSIFIED Stocks
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