WallStSmart

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE)vsAGNC Investment Corp (AGNC)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

AGNC Investment Corp generates 2373% more annual revenue ($1.80B vs $72.68M). AGNC leads profitability with a 92.9% profit margin vs -1.2%. ACRE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.57. AGNC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B+).

ACRE

Hold

41

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.0Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: -0.23

AGNC

Strong Buy

75

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: -0.95
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ACRE.

AGNCUndervalued (+83.7%)

Margin of Safety

+83.7%

Fair Value

$70.20

Current Price

$10.14

$60.06 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.20Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ACRE1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

AGNC4 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
6.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
92.9%10/10

Keeps 93 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
95.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 95.9%

Areas to Watch

ACRE4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Market CapQuality
$260.23M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

PEG RatioValuation
2.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-0.2%2/10

ROE of -0.2% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-81.7%2/10

Revenue declined 81.7%

AGNC3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
17.552/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.952/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ACRE

The strongest argument for ACRE centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : AGNC

The strongest argument for AGNC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 92.9% and operating margin at 95.9%.

Bear Case : ACRE

The primary concerns for ACRE are Market Cap, PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.06 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : AGNC

The primary concerns for AGNC are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ACRE profiles as a turnaround stock while AGNC is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

AGNC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.35 — expect wider price swings.

AGNC is growing revenue faster at 5.5% — sustainability is the question.

AGNC generates stronger free cash flow (128M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AGNC scores higher overall (75/100 vs 41/100), backed by strong 92.9% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ares Commercial Real Estate

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation, a specialized finance company, originates and invests in commercial real estate loans (CRE) and related investments in the United States. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

AGNC Investment Corp

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

AGNC Investment Corp. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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