Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)vsUpstart Holdings Inc (UPST)
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
$88.34
-0.17%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $32.03B
UPST
Upstart Holdings Inc
$29.74
-7.84%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $2.92B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Arch Capital Group Ltd. generates 1585% more annual revenue ($19.78B vs $1.17B). ACGL leads profitability with a 24.6% profit margin vs 4.2%. ACGL trades at a lower P/E of 7.0x. ACGL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 79/100 (B+).
ACGL
Strong Buy79
out of 100
Grade: B+
UPST
Hold50
out of 100
Grade: D+
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 94.6% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 20 in profit
Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Revenue surging 44.6% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 209.1% YoY
Areas to Watch
Revenue declined 3.3%
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of 6.7% — below average capital efficiency
4.2% margin — thin
Operating margin of 0.9%
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ACGL
The strongest argument for ACGL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.6% and operating margin at 25.3%. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : UPST
The strongest argument for UPST centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 44.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ACGL
The primary concerns for ACGL are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : UPST
The primary concerns for UPST are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 74.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.70 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ACGL profiles as a declining stock while UPST is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
UPST carries more volatility with a beta of 2.28 — expect wider price swings.
UPST is growing revenue faster at 44.6% — sustainability is the question.
ACGL generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ACGL scores higher overall (79/100 vs 50/100), backed by strong 24.6% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - DIVERSIFIED · USA
Arch Capital Group Ltd., offers insurance, reinsurance and mortgage products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Upstart Holdings Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA
Upstart Holdings, Inc. operates a cloud-based artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform. The company is headquartered in San Mateo, California.
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