Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)vsUpstart Holdings Inc (UPST)
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
$96.09
-0.11%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $33.47B
UPST
Upstart Holdings Inc
$25.59
+1.95%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $2.52B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Arch Capital Group Ltd. generates 1396% more annual revenue ($19.23B vs $1.29B). ACGL leads profitability with a 24.4% profit margin vs 4.7%. ACGL trades at a lower P/E of 7.7x. ACGL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
ACGL
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
UPST
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Strong operational efficiency at 26.6%
Generating 1.3B in free cash flow
Revenue surging 42.3% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 211.2% YoY
Areas to Watch
Revenue declined 10.5%
Earnings declined 7.1%
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of 6.7% — below average capital efficiency
4.7% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ACGL
The strongest argument for ACGL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.4% and operating margin at 26.6%. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : UPST
The strongest argument for UPST centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 42.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ACGL
The primary concerns for ACGL are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : UPST
The primary concerns for UPST are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 51.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.54 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ACGL profiles as a declining stock while UPST is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
UPST carries more volatility with a beta of 2.17 — expect wider price swings.
UPST is growing revenue faster at 42.3% — sustainability is the question.
ACGL generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ACGL scores higher overall (67/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 24.4% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - DIVERSIFIED · USA
Arch Capital Group Ltd., offers insurance, reinsurance and mortgage products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Upstart Holdings Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA
Upstart Holdings, Inc. operates a cloud-based artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform. The company is headquartered in San Mateo, California.
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