WallStSmart

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 352% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $19.78B). ACGL leads profitability with a 24.6% profit margin vs 12.9%. ACGL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. ACGL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 79/100 (B+).

ACGL

Strong Buy

79

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.0Value: 7.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.48

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.33

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ACGL6 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
7.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
94.6%10/10

Earnings expanding 94.6% YoY

Return on EquityProfitability
20.1%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 20 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
24.6%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.119/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.3x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
34.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit

Market CapQuality
$118.74B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Debt/EquityHealth
0.259/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

ACGL2 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-3.3%2/10

Revenue declined 3.3%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.482/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PGR2 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.172/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.332/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ACGL

The strongest argument for ACGL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.6% and operating margin at 25.3%. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bear Case : ACGL

The primary concerns for ACGL are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ACGL profiles as a declining stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ACGL carries more volatility with a beta of 0.31 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 8.7% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ACGL scores higher overall (79/100 vs 61/100), backed by strong 24.6% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - DIVERSIFIED · USA

Arch Capital Group Ltd., offers insurance, reinsurance and mortgage products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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