Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd
$93.32
-0.30%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $33.94B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 340% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $19.93B). ACGL leads profitability with a 22.1% profit margin vs 12.9%. ACGL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. ACGL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 81/100 (A-).
ACGL
Exceptional Buy81
out of 100
Grade: A-
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+81.8%
Fair Value
$542.88
Current Price
$93.32
$449.56 discount
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Strong operational efficiency at 29.5%
Earnings expanding 38.8% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
No major concerns identified
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ACGL
The strongest argument for ACGL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.1% and operating margin at 29.5%. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ACGL
No major red flags identified for ACGL, but monitor valuation.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ACGL profiles as a mature stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
ACGL carries more volatility with a beta of 0.36 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ACGL scores higher overall (81/100 vs 67/100), backed by strong 22.1% margins. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Arch Capital Group Ltd
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - DIVERSIFIED · USA
Arch Capital Group Ltd., offers insurance, reinsurance and mortgage products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
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