WallStSmart

Ambev SA ADR (ABEV)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Ambev SA ADR generates 397% more annual revenue ($88.21B vs $17.74B). ABEV leads profitability with a 17.7% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.38. ABEV earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).

ABEV

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.39

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ABEVUndervalued (+74.4%)

Margin of Safety

+74.4%

Fair Value

$11.91

Current Price

$3.29

$8.62 discount

UndervaluedFair: $11.91Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.3%)

Margin of Safety

-53.3%

Fair Value

$101.06

Current Price

$147.72

$46.66 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.06Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ABEV5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
Free Cash FlowQuality
$11.62B10/10

Generating 11.6B in free cash flow

Market CapQuality
$53.50B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
17.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
26.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 26.5%

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.12B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

ABEV3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.314/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
2.2%4/10

2.2% earnings growth

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.1%2/10

Revenue declined 0.1%

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.1x4/10

Trading at 19.1x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ABEV

The strongest argument for ABEV centers on Free Cash Flow, Market Cap, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.7% and operating margin at 26.5%.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ABEV

The primary concerns for ABEV are PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ABEV profiles as a declining stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

ABEV generates stronger free cash flow (11.6B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ABEV scores higher overall (57/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 17.7% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ambev SA ADR

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - BREWERS · USA

Ambev SA produces, distributes and sells beer, draft beer, carbonated soft drinks (CSD), other non-alcoholic beverages, malt and food products in the Americas. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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