Ambev SA ADR (ABEV)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
ABEV
Ambev SA ADR
$2.85
+2.52%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $43.41B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Ambev SA ADR generates 1% more annual revenue ($88.24B vs $87.64B). ABEV leads profitability with a 17.6% profit margin vs 12.9%. ABEV appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.02. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
ABEV
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-136.4%
Fair Value
$1.29
Current Price
$2.85
$1.56 premium
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Generating 11.6B in free cash flow
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 28.2%
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 8.2%
Earnings declined 10.1%
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ABEV
The strongest argument for ABEV centers on Free Cash Flow, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.6% and operating margin at 28.2%.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ABEV
The primary concerns for ABEV are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ABEV profiles as a declining stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
PGR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.29 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
ABEV generates stronger free cash flow (11.6B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 55/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Ambev SA ADR
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - BREWERS · USA
Ambev SA produces, distributes and sells beer, draft beer, carbonated soft drinks (CSD), other non-alcoholic beverages, malt and food products in the Americas. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
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